27th February 2017

China Development and Climate Change

There are obviously several reasons why some developing countries with emerging economies, in particular China and India, have got to the point of representing a strong competitive threat to the economies of Britain and the rest of the developed world.

Here I want to focus on one of these reasons, which is largely underreported and overlooked: the West's obsession with "climate change", not shared by China and India.

Climate Change and the West

Western countries, and the UK in particular, are solitary in the world in their suicidal embrace of a theory which has no solid scientific foundation but has all the potential to inflict very serious damage to their economies.

"China and India never subscribed to climate change theory, mainly supported by Western nations, and never accepted even the minimum restriction to their carbon emissions because this would have hampered their economic growth."

Man-made global warming theory is so discredited that even the United Nations scientists who still support it formally asked for immunity from criminal prosecution before Rio de Janeiro's international climate talks in June 2012. In particular, they demanded protection from possible conflicts of interest in their duties, breaches of confidentiality, violations of the due process rights of those affected by the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change's actions, making decisions or actions that are beyond the legal mandate of the organization or its subsidiaries: in short, malpractice and the consequences of their theory if it is wrong. That should inspire confidence in their scientific work, should it?

If it makes you think of bankers you are right: they have a lot in common; both relied on models for a start.

An alternative theory about the causative role of the sun and the clouds - the two most important factors in determining weather - and oceanic currents in climate changes and fluctuations has been proposed. This theory better fits with the history of the earth's climate as has always been known than the anthropogenic (manmade) greenhouse gases causative theory.

Furthermore, the climate predictions made by the computer programs into which the anthropogenic hypothesis had been fed have been proven wrong: temperatures, which the models had predicted to rise in conjunction with the increase in CO2 emissions, in reality fell in the last few years while carbon emissions increased.

And on these flimsy, model-based, unsubstantiated grounds, which are being disproven more and more every day, British and other Western leaders have taken energy measures, like relying on unpredictable, useless wind farms without maintaining and renewing conventional power stations, which, in a computer-driven economy like ours, inflict grievous bodily harm to our productive capacity.

UK households already have to pay much higher electricty and gas bills which are going to increase even further, because of those misguided and inefficient energy policies, and Britons will be poorer for the energy crisis that will derive from them.

Climate Change and the Rest

China and India never subscribed to climate change theory, mainly supported by Western nations, and never accepted even the minimum restriction to their carbon emissions because this would have hampered their economic growth.

These two population giants (with 40% of the earth's human inhabitants between them) and fast-developing nations have already overtaken the USA as the world's leading "polluters".

China, in 2006 alone, raised its electric-generating capacity by 25 per cent: the capacity it just added in that one year alone to its existing one was nearly the same amount as the whole generating capacity of France. And 88.5 per cent of this new extra capacity derived from highly CO2-emitting coal-fired plants.

By mid-2007 China was constructing a new coal-fired electric power station every four days. It has now exceeded America's electrical capacity and is the country that emits most CO2 in the world. In 2009, China was still building two new coal-fired generating stations every week.

The only way China, India, Brazil and other developing economies from Asia, Africa and South America, emerging and non, woud have accepted reductions in their carbon emissions would have been if the rich world had paid them an astronomical sum: before the 2009 Copenhagen climate change summit, some 130 Third World states demanded around 1,000 billion of dollars. No wonder no agreement was found then, before or after.

All of this obviously means that the race to cut CO2 emissions on the part of Western countries like the UK, cancelled out by China's, India's, Brazil's and the rest of the developing world's emissions, has absolutely zero impact on the problem which was supposed to solve in the first place, even if it existed, i.e. global warming from greenhouse gases produced by man. But it devastates the economic power of Britain, obsessed with self-regulation like the rest of Europe, and so accelerates the West's productive decline and the process of acquiring world economic leadership by China et al.

In addition, under the United Nations' Clean Development Mechanism (CDM), fossil fuel users from a country could buy credits, i.e. permits to emit CO2 to offset their own emissions, from elsewhere in the world, in particular from developing nations.

Half of the CDM's carbon credits are bought from China which, despite being the world's leading carbon emitter, could claim billions of dollars in "certified emission reduction" credits.

And there is another twist to this tale of two economic blocs. Clever China exploits the West's weakness: its obsession with climate change. While China has always been strongly opposed to implementing the now-defunct Kyoto Protocol for itself, it is more than happy to make profits from producing and selling to the world "green" technologies.

With nearly half of the global production, China is now the world's largest producer of solar panels, of which it exports 99 per cent, and is planning further investments in strategic "environmental" industries which now represent 3% of its GDP and will be 20% by 2020.

I am not blaming China and India for taking advantage of the West's desire to commit economic harakiri and in so doing helping their own people to rise above poverty. The clear villains of the piece here are British and Western politicians who can't see beyond the end of their nose and are leading their countries to disaster.

 

Enza FerreriEnza Ferreri is an Italian web author, Philosophy of Science graduate and former journalist living in London.

Email: ehg89 at britaingallery dot com

 

 

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